WHO: Iowa State University vs. Brigham Young University
WHEN: January 16th, 2024 -- Provo, Utah
RESULT: BYU 87-72
Milan Momcilovic of Iowa State has been an interesting prospect to monitor this cycle -- a freshman forward with a combination of size, skill, and shooting that could intrigue front offices, and ultimately get him to declare for the draft early. BYU and Iowa State served as a good test between 2 top-25 teams to serve as a barometer on the talented freshman. In addition, a few different deep cuts popped in my eye in this game.
Milan Momcilovic
11 points (3-10 shooting, 1-6 from 3, 4-5 from the free throw line), 3 rebounds, 1 assists (0 turnovers), 0 blocks or steals, 1 foul in 34 minutes
Offense: Momcilovic's offensive skill was apparent, even in an off-shooting night. His shooting form is rather smooth, and he keeps the ball high for his release point. He's a deft off-ball mover that can shoot off movement -- though he needs to learn to square his body a bit more off the catch to develop better consistency as a shooter. His handle is a bit stiff, which prevents him from being a good advantage creator. However, he loves going to the post on mismatches, typically pulling the "Dirk" one-legged fadeaway out of his bag.
Defense: Momcilovic has a ways to go defensively. Ball-watching led to his man getting an open cut to the basket. He's a too slow-footed right now in individual matchups as well. Iowa State stuck him at the top of a 1-2-2 zone as an adjustment, but his size wasn't really utilized to his advantage that much.
What I'm monitoring: Will he declare in 2024 or 2025? Momcilovic has the size and skill that evaluators tend to covet as a stretch-4. However, I've been thinking since the start of the cycle that he should declare in 2025 to come back stronger and with a more focal point in the system -- and my opinion hasn't really changed. His efficiency has slipped in conference plays, shooting 39% from the field and 26.1% from 3 in 4 conference games. Through doing so, he could showcase more of his skillset as a shooter+ -- focusing on defensive improvements, advantage creation, and secondary playmaking. In the process, Momcilovic could position himself as a top returner and a potential lottery pick in next year's class.
Other Players
Jaxson Robinson: Robinson's game seems so scalable to the next level. He's a catch-and-shoot threat with deep range and a pretty shooting form, connecting on 3 of his 8 three-point attempts. He didn't offer much as a creator in this game, but the threat of his jumper could open up more of his game there. He's a heady defender utilized on primary ball-handlers, maintaining a strong presence with his size (6'7", 7'1" wingspan) and with his screen navigation. There are concerns with his consistency defensively, but locking in more on that side of the floor could bode well for his trajectory.
Keshon Gilbert: It was an off game for Gilbert, as he only shot 6-15 from the field. He didn't make his presence felt as a playmaker either, dishing out just 1 assist against 4 turnovers. He's a lightning-quick guard with good size (6'4") and elite athleticism. However, he still needs work shifting gears downhill, especially as he faces defensive pressure near the rim. A bright spot in this game though, he showed a feathery touch on his floater in the in-between game, a usual tool for him to counter more protection in the paint.
Spencer Johnson: Johnson was the game's leading scorer -- finishing with 28 points, 9 rebounds, and 5 assists. He shot the ball extremely well -- season-best 4-9 from 3, 39.7% career 3-point shooter (32.5 this season). He sought opportunities to let it fly in transition before the defense can get set. He found his way to the scoring chances inside the arc with his cutting and his attacks off closeouts -- and drawing playmaking opportunities within it. His defense was sound -- slowing down Momcilovic, jumping passing lanes, applying pressure, and navigating screens. Don't know his draft prospects, as he's was in the 2016 HS graduating class (completed 2 year mission between HS and college), but he's a focal part of BYU's system.
Dallin Hall: The 6'4" sophomore guard served as the primary ball-handler for BYU. How he controlled the pace of the game was impressive, though his handle is a bit loose for full-time lead-guard responsibilities. He pushed the ball to ignite transition offense, applied pressure with his downhill attack, and sought drive-and-kick chances to open shooters (6 of 8 assists came from 3). His shot is pretty solid (3-3 this game), too. Defensively, he generated 2 steals with his off-ball awareness. He may be more of a 2026 guy to look out for, but he currently boasts offensive BPM and defensive BPM greater of 3 and 3.8. He also has good size, shooting, and playmaking chops at the guard spot. Keeping tabs as a deep cut down the road.
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